Now, you know you want to bet with your low flush draw, but you aren’t sure which size to choose.
If this sounds like you, keep reading. You’re about to learn exactly how to choose between small and big bet sizes at the poker table.
Players should fold more often versus big bets than small bets (see: minimum defense frequency and pot odds 안전놀이터추천).
Your bluffs need to work less often to be profitable when betting small compared to betting big (also tied to minimum defense frequency and pot odds).
Defining “Small” and “Big”
What qualifies as a “small” and “big” bet changes relative to the street you’re on.
Your small bet size on the flop should usually be between 25% and 33% of the pot, whereas your big bet size should be 66% or more of the pot.
Your small bet size on the turn/river should usually be between 66% and 75% of the pot, whereas your big bet size should be 90% or more of the pot.
Before we dive deeper into this topic, you should know that any bet size can be good as long as you bet with the correct range given your size. It’s possible to build very strong flop c-betting ranges (that retain 98%+ of the equilibrium EV) both in position and out of position with almost any bet size if you use the correct hands (which is easier said than done).
That being said, through solver work, some flop bet sizing patterns have emerged and they are in line with what poker players’ intuitions have been telling them for years. Those patterns were observed to form the heuristics in the following sections.
Here are some general patterns that I’ve observed on the flop (regardless of playing in position or out of position):
- The dryer and more disconnected the board is, the smaller and more
- frequently solvers elect to bet overall.
- The wetter and more connected the board is, the larger and less frequently
- solvers elect to bet overall.
- Weaker hands tend to be bet for smaller sizes by solvers.
- Stronger hands tend to be bet for larger sizes by solvers.
- All of these are pretty intuitive. The challenge lies in balancing your value
- hands with the appropriate number of bluffs. That’s beyond the scope of
- today’s topic, but you can learn more about balancing and bluffing in these articles:
- How to Win More Chips with Your Bluff-to-Value Ratios
- Bluffing in Poker Explained (by Doug Polk)
- Which Draws Should You Semi-Bluff?
- Let’s move on to the turn and river.
Capped ranges are more common on the turn/river than on the flop, and the presence of capped ranges should have a major impact on your sizing strategy. A capped range is a range that contains no (or very few) strong hands, such as overpairs, two-pairs, sets, straights, flushes, etc. When one player has a capped range and the other doesn’t, it makes sense for the uncapped player to start overbetting. This will allow the uncapped player to profit more with both his strong hands and his bluffs.